Monday, October 15, 2007

Market Summary 10-15-07

Index Last Change % Chg
DJ Industrials 13984.8 -108.28 -0.77%
Nasdaq Comp 2780.05 -25.63 -0.91%
S&P 500 1548.71 -13.09 -0.84%
DJ Wilshire 5K 15648.33 -140.97 -0.89%
Russell 2K 829.36 -11.81 -1.40%
Nasdaq 100 2158.92 -19.07 -0.88%




Issues NYSE Nasdaq Amex
Advancing 901 885 463
Declining 2,357 2,103 758
Unchanged 102 101 90
Total 3,360 3,089 1,311
New 52 Week High 160 108 80
New 52 Week Low 56 95 19
Total Vol. 1,289,203,200 3,007,322,439 42,435,331
Advancing Vol. 309,940,850 833,229,332 14,427,570
Declining Vol. 968,180,250 2,152,235,534 25,307,461
Unchanged Vol. 11,082,100 21,857,573 2,700,300




Futures Last Change
Crude Oil 86.28 2.59
Natural Gas, Jan 8.353 0.307
Gold, Dec. 764.3 10.5

Commentary (from Briefing.com):
Moving the Market Sector Watch
Citigroup's 3rd quarter income drops 57%, but beats the consensus estimate; says consumer credit markets to deteriorate in Q4

Danaher will acquire Tektronix for $2.8 bln

Biogen Idec's board authorizes its management to explore a possible sale

Crude oil futures surpass $86.00 per barrel
Strong: biotech; electronic equip. mfg.; coal & consumable fuel; photo products; construction & engineering; oil service; footwear; oil oil & gas E&P

Weak: healthcare equipment; homebuilding; consumer finance; automobile manufacturers; apparel & accessories; real estate management & development; retail REITs; Internet software; office REITs; dept. stores




Rising oil prices and a lousy earnings report from Citigroup (C 46.24, -1.63) combined to spark a concerted round of profit taking that got the week started on a bearish note.

At their lows for the session, which were hit around 15:30 ET, the Dow, Nasdaq and S&P were down 188, 41 and 21 points, respectively.

Oil prices hitting a record high of $86.22 per barrel provided a good excuse to take some money out of an overextended market. The 2.9% jump in crude futures for November delivery was driven by supply concerns that were fed by reports of rising tension between Turkey and Kurdish militants in northern Iraq.

The influential financial sector (-1.8%), though, was the main weak spot and the biggest drag on the broader market. Dow component Citigroup was a big reason why.

Before the open, Citigroup reported a 57% drop in third quarter net income that was consistent with a warning it issued at the start of the month. Citigroup's acknowledgment that consumer credit markets will continue to deteriorate in the fourth quarter was an unnerving revelation that compounded broader selling efforts.

Citigroup previously said it expected a return to a normal earnings environment in the fourth quarter. The warning about the consumer credit markets, then, sounded inconsistent with that view and raised some doubts as to whether the third quarter was indeed the bottom for the financial sector.

The consumer discretionary sector (-1.4%), which we also have rated at Underweight, was another notable laggard today with the homebuilding (-4.1%), apparel (-3.4%) and auto (-3.0%) groups leading the slide.

Tuesday brings a larger slate of earnings reports with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 65.65, -0.29) highlighting the reporting calendar before the open and IBM (IBM 118.03, +0.22), Intel (INTC 25.75, +0.20) and Yahoo! (YHOO 27.86, -0.62) taking the lead after the close.

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